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05/20/26 02:05:00
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05/20 14:04 CDT As CFP barrels toward 24 teams, the questions remain: Who's
paying for this, and how much?
As CFP barrels toward 24 teams, the questions remain: Who's paying for this,
and how much?
By EDDIE PELLS
AP National Writer
RANCHO PALOS VERDES, Calif. (AP) --- As momentum builds behind the Big Ten's
idea of doubling the College Football Playoff to 24 teams, one critical
question remains: Who wants to televise it?
Fox has indicated it likes the 24-team idea, but embedded within that equation
is the critical calculation of how much that network, or any broadcast partner,
would pay for a new set of games involving second-tier teams that might not
garner the same TV ratings as some of the biggest programs in the sport.
"The answer is ?less,' but not nothing,'" said Ed Desser, a former NBA
executive and media rights expert who co-authored a paper about the value of
college football on TV with former ESPN executive John Kosner. "There will be
perceived value. It becomes a question of, on the margin, can you create good,
meaningful games that enhance the value of the playoff? Or are you just kind of
making people wait longer for the entree, for the game they really want?"
The CFP deal that starts this season with ESPN is worth $7.8 billion over six
seasons. That network would have first dibs on the first two games added to any
package. The rest are up for grabs.
"I want to see whoever is committed to making it work," Big Ten commissioner
Tony Petitti said this week when asked which TV partner he'd like to see jump
in. "I think it's about whoever has the commitment to scheduling it right and
who's going to bring the right resources."
Figuring the size of the playoff is a puzzle that continues to confound the
sport. On one side is the Southeastern Conference, which has held steady to the
idea of not expanding past 16 teams though commissioner Greg Sankey teased that
some might come around to 24 at meetings next week.
On the other is the Big Ten, which now also has backing from the Atlantic Coast
and Big 12 conferences for a move to 24.
The SEC's idea would more or less keep the overall schedule where it is,
including preserving the conference championship games that Petitti estimated
to be worth a combined $200 million to the four power conferences.
Sankey has said the league has contracts for its title game and it has to honor
those contracts; Petitti didn't seem as tied to the title games, saying he
thought the Big Ten could "undo our championship games" as soon as the 2027
season if needed.
A 24-team playoff would eliminate automatic qualifiers and render conference
title games virtually meaningless. According to many in the Big Ten, they would
give all programs what they crave --- more access to the playoff, and a reason
for fans and boosters to keep bankrolling all those player salaries.
"I think if we went to 24 teams, there might be 24 teams that could win the
national championship," said Illinois coach Bret Bielema, who is on the board
of the American Football Coaches Association that also recently voiced support
for the expanded field. "I don't know if that was true 10 years ago."
There is still the issue of paying for it.
While popular, college football only captures a fraction of the viewers as the
NFL.
The 30.1 million who tuned into last season's college final between Indiana and
Miami would have ranked fifth on the NFL's list of most-watched regular-season
offerings. The Super Bowl drew more than 125 million viewers.
For the weeks when the CFP goes against NFL regular-season games -- first-round
contests the past two years have taken place opposite NFL games on Saturdays --
the NFL games have drawn between 2.5 times and 5 times the viewers. Part of
this is because the NFL games are over-the-air on Fox and the college games
were on cable, TNT/TBS/TruTv.
There is also the issue of how much networks or streamers will have to spend.
The NFL's recent move into streaming and adding new broadcast windows --- for
example, Christmas Day and the days before and after Thanksgiving --- has led
to thoughts that the league will press for sooner renegotiations of its own
deals that currently have an opt-out clause in 2029.
While the league controls all its games, college football's rights are spread
out among the individual conferences and the CFP.
"We don't feel that the current Balkanized state of college football lends
itself to maximizing (revenue) across the board," Kosner said. "Nor do I think
that just doubling the CFP at this stage is going to be such a revenue
motherlode that it's going to make a difference."
Pettiti views filling the gaps from the lost title-game revenue differently. He
sees an influx of on-campus games, which generate $6 million or more in ticket
sales and other receipts, as part of the equation.
The SEC, once seemingly in the majority in seeking a move to 16 teams, is now
in the minority. Sankey said the league will have to do its own research to see
how a bigger expansion would impact the college football calendar, the title
games and, of course, the financial bottom line.
"I think there's going to be a lot of pressure on the commissioners to help
make it happen," Kosner said. "I would kind of be surprised if, within two
years, it hasn't happened. But I'd also be surprised if it winds up being the
sort of business boom that they might hope that it would be."
___
AP college football: https://apnews.com/hub/ap-top-25-college-football-poll and
https://apnews.com/hub/college-football
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